The controversial Ethiopian politician and Director
General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom
Ghebreyesus, claimed in a press conference in early March that the
fatality rate for the coronavirus was many multiples that of the
fatality rate of the common flu.
This egregiously false premise has led to the greatest panic
in world history.
The Director General of the
WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared this related to the
coronavirus:
While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal
flu strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity.
That means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will
suffer severe disease.
Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By
comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those
infected.
This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the
media all over the world shared and repeated that the coronavirus
was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.
The problem is his statement is false. It was not
accurate!
The Gateway Pundit reported yesterday, that the coronavirus
fatality rate reported by the media was completely inaccurate and
the actual rate is less than the current seasonal flu – the media
was lying again. The false reporting of the coronavirus fatality
rate of 3.4% in the media started with the statements made by the
WHO in early March.
Here’s a summary of the analysis from yesterday proving the
Director General’s statement was very misleading and materially
false:
1. The fatality rate of the coronavirus was based on
current data available of known positive cases and known
deaths.
Oftentimes estimates have to be made because data is just not
yet available. The Director General of the World Health
Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, used the fatality
rate of coronavirus with known numbers and used this as his
prediction of eventual mortality rate. This was a faulty
assumption. Estimates usually involve obtaining information that
is available and making estimates on what is not. We cannot tell
the future but we can make educated guesses based on information
available. This is what has been done with the coronavirus because
this type of virus has apparently never been seen before.
2. Sometimes estimates are reasonable and sometimes they
are wrong, and even way off.
The point is that whenever estimates are made of large unknown
values they are always wrong because no one can tell the future.
Sometimes estimates end up close and sometimes they are not and
sometimes they are way off.
3. The current “estimate” for the coronavirus
fatality rate according to the WHO is about 3.4%.
The estimate used most often is from the WHO based on the
Director General’s comments. The
WHO estimates the mortality rate of the coronavirus to
be around 3.4%:
The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality
rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher
than seasonal flu and is cause for concern – but even if it is
correct, more than 96% of people who become infected with the
coronavirus will recover.
4. The same rate for this year’s
seasonal flu is 10% if you use known cases and known deaths (but
the media tells you it’s .1%).
As The Gateway Pundit reported
earlier, according to CDC numbers, in the
US in the 2019-2020 flu season, there were 222,552
confirmed cases of the flu from testing and
an estimated 36 million flu cases in the United
States. There were 22,000 estimated
deaths from the flu (via the CDC).
Note that the number of deaths and confirmed cases (through
testing) of the flu in the US are based on actual
data. The number of individuals who contracted the flu is
an estimate. There is no way to know who had the flu in
the US because many cases are not severe and people do not have a
test done to confirm they had the flu. They believe their symptoms
are minor and go on with their normal lives thinking they had a
cold or something similar. Because of this, the CDC
estimates and they estimated 36 million people had the flu in this
past flu season.
The rate of the number of individuals who died from the flu to
the number of individuals who were estimated to have had the flu is
.1% (22,552 / 36 million). This is an estimate and the
amount used above by the Director General of the
WHO.
However, the rate of individuals who died from the flu
to the number of individuals who were confirmed to have had the flu
is around 10% (22,000/ 222,552). This is based on actual data
similar to the rate for the coronavirus above.
5. Actual results for the coronavirus are lower than the
flu.
Based on the above numbers, the actual fatality rate for those
who were confirmed to have had the coronavirus
is 3.4%.
The actual mortality rates for those who were confirmed to have had
the flu are around 10%.
The actual data shows that the mortality rate for those
who had the flu (10%) is almost twice as high than for those with
the coronavirus (3.8%).
6. Current estimates between the flu and the coronavirus
are not comparing ‘apples to apples’.
The fatality rate that is commonly referred to in the media for
the coronavirus is 3.4% from the WHO. This number is based on
confirmed cases of people with the coronavirus.
The flu fatality rate provided by the CDC of .1% includes an
estimate of individuals who had the flu (36,000,000). This rate
includes an estimate of all people with the flu, most who were not
tested for the flu.
The fatality rate for the coronavirus does not include those who
had the coronavirus but were not confirmed. This is why the flu
fatality rate is .1% and the coronavirus fatality rate is 3.4%!
The two rates are like comparing apples to oranges. By
doing so the coronavirus fatality rate is way overstated when
compared to the flu and the WHO and the media has created a
worldwide crisis and panic by reporting these rates
simultaneously!
The coronavirus is not more fatal than the flu based on
current data available. It is much less fatal than the flu based on
current data.
7. Those most at risk from the coronavirus are the
elderly and sick (similar to the flu).
Similar to the flu, those most at risk of dying from the
coronavirus are the elderly and the sick. The average age for those
who died from the coronavirus in
Italy is 81 years old. This is consistent
around the world. There have been no known fatalities for any
children 10 and under.
The sick are also at a higher risk similar to the flu. Current
data shows that if you have no pre-existing conditions, your
fatality rate if you contract the coronavirus is .9% (and what
proportion of these cases are the elderly).
In summary, President Trump was right when he said the WHO’s
coronavirus fatality rate was much too high.
Evidence proves the coronavirus is not as deadly as what was
reported by the WHO and is continually repeated in the media.
In fact, current data shows it is not as deadly as the flu. The
elderly and the sick should be concerned and protected. Everyone
else has little to worry about.
Again, don’t believe what the media is telling you. They are
lying again.
The post
Evidence Shows WHO Severely Overstated Fatality Rate of Coronavirus
Leading to Greatest Global Panic in History appeared first on
Harbingers Daily.
